{"id":94364,"date":"2026-03-24T11:30:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T16:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/?p=94364"},"modified":"2026-03-24T05:27:59","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T10:27:59","slug":"kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kalshi, \u0130\u00e7eriden \u00d6\u011frenen Ticareti \u00d6nlemek \u0130\u00e7in Kurallar\u0131 S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kalshi, belirli olay s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde i\u015flem yapabilecek kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan yeni kurallar a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu kapsamda platform, siyasi adaylar\u0131n kendi kampanyalar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda i\u015flem yapmas\u0131n\u0131 yasaklad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde sporcular, hakemler ve m\u00fcsabaka sonucunu etkileyebilecek di\u011fer ki\u015filer de ilgili piyasalardan d\u0131\u015fland\u0131. Bu ad\u0131m, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7inde i\u00e7eriden \u00f6\u011frenenlerin ticareti riskini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan bir m\u00fcdahale olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kalshi\u2019nin resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, bu d\u00fczenlemelerin k\u0131sa vadeli bir karar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve uzun s\u00fcredir planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Platform, s\u00f6z konusu kurallar\u0131n piyasa manip\u00fclasyonu ve adil olmayan i\u015flem avantajlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek amac\u0131yla geli\u015ftirildi\u011fini belirtti. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, \u00f6zellikle son d\u00f6nemde artan ele\u015ftiriler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fcven tesis etmeyi hedefliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">\u0130\u00e7indekiler Tablosu<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"\u0130\u00e7indekiler Tablosunu A\u00e7\/Kapat\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Tahmin_Piyasalari_Artik_Finansal_Sistemle_Ic_Ice\" >Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Art\u0131k Finansal Sistemle \u0130\u00e7 \u0130\u00e7e<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Tahmin_Piyasalari_Yasal_ve_Butunluk_Testinde\" >Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Yasal ve B\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fck Testinde<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Tahmin_Piyasalari_ve_Blockchain_Altyapisinin_Rolu\" >Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 ve Blockchain Altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Rol\u00fc<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Tahmin_Piyasalari_Icin_Gelecek_Senaryosu\" >Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Gelecek Senaryosu<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Temel_Terimler_Sozlugu\" >Temel Terimler S\u00f6zl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Tahmin_Piyasalari_Hakkinda_Sikca_Sorulan_Sorular\" >Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Hakk\u0131nda S\u0131k\u00e7a Sorulan Sorular<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#1_Tahmin_piyasalari_nedir_ve_nasil_calisir\" >1. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 nedir ve nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#2_Kalshi_ve_Polymarket_neden_kurallari_sikilastiriyor\" >2. Kalshi ve Polymarket neden kurallar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#3_Tahmin_piyasalari_guvenli_ve_yasal_mi\" >3. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli ve yasal m\u0131?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#4_Tahmin_piyasalarinda_kullanicilari_hangi_degisiklikler_bekliyor\" >4. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131nda kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 hangi de\u011fi\u015fiklikler bekliyor?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/kalshi-iceriden-ogrenen-ticareti-onlemek-icin-kurallari-sikilastirdi\/#Kaynaklar\" >Kaynaklar<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tahmin_Piyasalari_Artik_Finansal_Sistemle_Ic_Ice\"><\/span><b>Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Art\u0131k Finansal Sistemle \u0130\u00e7 \u0130\u00e7e<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde tahmin piyasalar\u0131, yaln\u0131zca alternatif bir i\u015flem alan\u0131 olmaktan \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Art\u0131k finansal sistemin daha geni\u015f bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline gelen bu platformlar, d\u00fczenleyicilerin radar\u0131na daha fazla giriyor.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/what-bitnomial-cftc-approval-means-for-crypto-prediction-markets-in-the-u-s\/\"> Piyasa b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc,<\/a> kullan\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcveni ve d\u00fczenleyici uyum, bu alan\u0131n gelece\u011fini belirleyen temel unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ABD Emtia Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonu\u2019nun (CFTC) 12 Mart tarihli dan\u0131\u015fma notu da bu de\u011fi\u015fimi a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor. Komisyon, listeye al\u0131nan s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin manip\u00fclasyona a\u00e7\u0131k olmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtirken, i\u00e7eriden \u00f6\u011frenilen bilgilerle yap\u0131lan i\u015flemler dahil olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm k\u00f6t\u00fcye kullan\u0131mlar\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Bu uyar\u0131lar, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 denetim s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_94377\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-94377\" style=\"width: 1408px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-94377\" src=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-43.jpg\" alt=\"Kalshi i\u00e7eriden \u00f6\u011frenen ticareti kurallar\u0131\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-43.jpg 1408w, https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-43-768x419.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-94377\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 yeni ABD yasalar\u0131yla tehdit alt\u0131nda m\u0131<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tahmin_Piyasalari_Yasal_ve_Butunluk_Testinde\"><\/span><b>Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Yasal ve B\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fck Testinde<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yeni kurallar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131, ABD\u2019de sunulan yeni bir yasa teklifiyle ayn\u0131 zamana denk geldi. Senat\u00f6r Adam Schiff ve John Curtis taraf\u0131ndan sunulan \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/polymarket-us-launch-marks-new-era-for-regulated-prediction-markets\/\">Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act<\/a>\u201d, baz\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin do\u011frudan kumar kategorisine al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Senat\u00f6rler, yapt\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda spor etkinliklerine dayal\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin asl\u0131nda bahis niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Schiff, \u201cSpor tahmin s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri asl\u0131nda farkl\u0131 isimle sunulan bahislerdir,\u201d derken, Curtis ise bu d\u00fczenlemenin eyaletlerin yetki alan\u0131n\u0131 koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Bu geli\u015fme, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde hem yasal hem de operasyonel bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bu noktada platformlar iki \u00f6nemli zorlukla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. \u0130lk olarak, i\u00e7eriden bilgiye dayal\u0131 i\u015flemleri tespit edebildiklerini kan\u0131tlamak zorundalar. \u0130kinci olarak ise spor s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinin federal t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa eyalet bazl\u0131 kumar d\u00fczenlemeleri kapsam\u0131nda m\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilece\u011fi konusu netlik kazanmay\u0131 bekliyor. Bu belirsizlik, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_94379\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-94379\" style=\"width: 1408px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-94379\" src=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-44.jpg\" alt=\"Polymarket i\u015flem k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-44.jpg 1408w, https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Untitled-design-44-768x419.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-94379\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 yeni ABD yasalar\u0131yla tehdit alt\u0131nda m\u0131<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tahmin_Piyasalari_ve_Blockchain_Altyapisinin_Rolu\"><\/span><b>Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 ve Blockchain Altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Rol\u00fc<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Polymarket, blockchain tabanl\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131yla bu tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n merkezinde yer al\u0131yor. Platform, Polygon a\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, i\u015flemler USDC.e ile teminatland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor ve \u201cYes\/No\u201d token\u2019lar\u0131 \u00fczerinden sonu\u00e7land\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca UMA Optimistic Oracle, sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n do\u011frulanmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol oynuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Blockchain altyap\u0131s\u0131 sayesinde i\u015flemler \u015feffaf bir \u015fekilde izlenebiliyor. Ancak bu \u015feffafl\u0131k, i\u00e7eriden bilgiye eri\u015fimi olan kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n avantaj sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 tamamen ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131yor. Bu nedenle tahmin piyasalar\u0131, yaln\u0131zca teknolojik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerle de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kurallar ve denetim mekanizmalar\u0131yla desteklenmek zorunda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Son raporlara g\u00f6re Polymarket, \u00e7al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f gizli bilgiler veya yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131na dayal\u0131 i\u015flemleri yasaklayan daha kapsaml\u0131 kurallar getirdi. Ayr\u0131ca sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 etkileyebilecek ki\u015filerin i\u015flem yapmas\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in daha g\u00fcvenli bir i\u015flem ortam\u0131 olu\u015fturmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tahmin_Piyasalari_Icin_Gelecek_Senaryosu\"><\/span><b>Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Gelecek Senaryosu<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mevcut geli\u015fmeler, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde denetimin giderek artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor. Hem d\u00fczenleyiciler hem de yasa yap\u0131c\u0131lar, bu alan\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden \u00e7izmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bununla birlikte, platformlar\u0131n kendi i\u00e7 kontrol sistemlerinin yeterli olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 hen\u00fcz net de\u011fil. \u00d6zellikle spor s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri gibi hassas alanlarda, mevcut \u00f6nlemlerin yeterli olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">E\u011fer yasa teklifleri kabul edilir ve CFTC daha kat\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m benimserse, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in i\u015flem se\u00e7enekleri daralabilir. Platformlar daha s\u0131k\u0131 kullan\u0131c\u0131 filtreleme, geli\u015fmi\u015f denetim sistemleri ve daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn yelpazesi ile faaliyet g\u00f6stermek zorunda kalabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sonu\u00e7 olarak, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in gelece\u011fin ana belirleyicisi g\u00fcven olacak. Adil fiyat olu\u015fumu, \u015feffaf i\u015flem s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ve d\u00fczenleyici uyum sa\u011flanabildi\u011fi s\u00fcrece bu piyasalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Temel_Terimler_Sozlugu\"><\/span><strong>Temel Terimler S\u00f6zl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1. Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 (Prediction Markets)<\/strong><br \/>\n\u0130nsanlar\u0131n se\u00e7imler veya spor gibi gelecekteki olaylar\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00fczerine tahminde bulunarak i\u015flem yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 platformlard\u0131r. Bir nevi para ile tahmin yapmaya benzer.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. \u0130\u00e7eriden \u00d6\u011frenenlerin Ticareti (Insider Trading)<\/strong><br \/>\nHerkese a\u00e7\u0131k olmayan gizli bilgileri kullanarak avantaj sa\u011flamak demektir. S\u0131nav sorular\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nceden bilmek gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Piyasa Manip\u00fclasyonu (Market Manipulation)<\/strong><br \/>\nFiyatlar\u0131 veya sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 haks\u0131z \u015fekilde etkilemek i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan davran\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Yanl\u0131\u015f bilgi yayarak insanlar\u0131n kararlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye benzer.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4. Olay S\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri (Event Contracts)<\/strong><br \/>\nGelecekteki bir olaya ba\u011fl\u0131 anla\u015fmalard\u0131r. Sonu\u00e7 do\u011fru tahmin edilirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flan\u0131r, t\u0131pk\u0131 ma\u00e7 sonucu tahmini gibi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5. CFTC (ABD Emtia Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonu)<\/strong><br \/>\nABD\u2019de piyasalar\u0131 denetleyen ve adil i\u015flemleri sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in kurallar koyan resmi kurumdur.<\/p>\n<p><strong>6. Blokzincir (Blockchain)<\/strong><br \/>\n\u0130\u015flemlerin g\u00fcvenli ve herkese a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde kaydedildi\u011fi dijital bir sistemdir. Herkesin g\u00f6rebildi\u011fi ama de\u011fi\u015ftiremedi\u011fi bir defter gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>7. Oracle (Veri Sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 Sistem)<\/strong><br \/>\nGer\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyadaki bilgileri blockchain\u2019e aktaran sistemdir. Bir ma\u00e7\u0131n sonucunu do\u011frulayan hakem gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>8. D\u00fczenleme (Regulation)<\/strong><br \/>\nPiyasalar\u0131n nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen kurallard\u0131r. Trafik kurallar\u0131 gibi d\u00fczeni ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tahmin_Piyasalari_Hakkinda_Sikca_Sorulan_Sorular\"><\/span><strong>Tahmin Piyasalar\u0131 Hakk\u0131nda S\u0131k\u00e7a Sorulan Sorular<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Tahmin_piyasalari_nedir_ve_nasil_calisir\"><\/span><strong>1. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 nedir ve nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Tahmin piyasalar\u0131, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n gelecekteki olaylar\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00fczerine i\u015flem yapmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flar. Fiyatlar olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131r ve beklentileri \u00f6l\u00e7meye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_Kalshi_ve_Polymarket_neden_kurallari_sikilastiriyor\"><\/span><strong>2. Kalshi ve Polymarket neden kurallar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Bu platformlar, i\u00e7eriden \u00f6\u011frenenlerin ticaretini \u00f6nlemek, manip\u00fclasyon riskini azaltmak ve d\u00fczenleyici beklentilere uyum sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar getirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_Tahmin_piyasalari_guvenli_ve_yasal_mi\"><\/span><strong>3. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli ve yasal m\u0131?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>G\u00fcvenlik, platform kurallar\u0131na ve denetime ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. CFTC gibi d\u00fczenleyiciler uyumu izlerken, yeni yasalar baz\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri kumar olarak s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"4_Tahmin_piyasalarinda_kullanicilari_hangi_degisiklikler_bekliyor\"><\/span><strong>4. Tahmin piyasalar\u0131nda kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 hangi de\u011fi\u015fiklikler bekliyor?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Kullan\u0131c\u0131lar daha s\u0131k\u0131 kimlik do\u011frulama, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 eri\u015fim ve daha az spor s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi g\u00f6rebilir. Platformlar denetim ve \u015feffafl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rmaya odaklanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Kaynaklar\"><\/span><strong>Kaynaklar<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.schiff.senate.gov\/news\/press-releases\/news-sens-schiff-curtis-introduce-bipartisan-legislation-to-ban-sports-prediction-market-contracts\/?utm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ADAM CHIFF<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.polymarket.com\/polymarket-101?utm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-03-23\/polymarket-implements-new-insider-trading-rules-after-scrutiny?utm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kalshi, belirli olay s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde i\u015flem yapabilecek kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan yeni kurallar a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu kapsamda platform, siyasi adaylar\u0131n kendi kampanyalar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda i\u015flem yapmas\u0131n\u0131 yasaklad\u0131. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde sporcular, hakemler ve m\u00fcsabaka sonucunu etkileyebilecek di\u011fer ki\u015filer de ilgili piyasalardan d\u0131\u015fland\u0131. Bu ad\u0131m, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7inde i\u00e7eriden \u00f6\u011frenenlerin ticareti riskini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan bir m\u00fcdahale olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Kalshi\u2019nin resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":94374,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","override":[{"template":"2","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1999,2013,2014],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haberler","category-business-tr","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/53"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94364"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94364\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":94409,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94364\/revisions\/94409"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/94374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishnyradio.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}