According to CoinMarketCap, Hedera (HBAR) is trading at $0.2166 as of May 2025, with a market cap of $9.15 billion and 24-hour trades of $342.86 million. Increasingly, analysts are observing how U.S. regulation in general and the present SEC Chair in particular influence the future stages of HBAR and crypto assets at large.
The longer-term outlook for HBAR now comes into focus. Experts have begun to predict price changes in the next three to five years as Hedera develops more enterprise partners and scalable architecture. But just how much influence does the SEC Chair really wield in this space?
And here is a breakdown of the prediction:
1. HBAR Price Prediction 2025 SEC Chair Focus Heats Up
The current SEC Chair plays an important role in defining compliance rules and approving institutional investment routes for digital assets. If increased clarity regarding digital assets manifests by late 2025, Hedera stands to benefit.
2025 Price Forecast Table
| Scenario | Predicted Average | Predicted High |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | $0.20 | $0.22 |
| Moderate | $0.23 | $0.27 |
| Bullish Adoption | $0.29 | $0.32 |
Source: CryptoPredictions, Binance
For some traders, the SEC Chair’s much-anticipated forthcoming crypto classifications would serve as a pivotal first domino. If HBAR is classified as a utility token instead of a security, Q4 2025 could see inflows from U.S. funds.
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“Regulatory decisions under the SEC Chair will be a kingmaker for utility tokens,” said Alex Thorn, Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital.
2. HBAR Outlook for 2026 May Reflect Broader Institutional Moves
HBAR’s network throughput and actual world use of supply chain tracking and payments could gain traction on the price if institutional crypto adoption continues.
The forecast for the year 2026 shows gradual growth. According to LongForecast.com, should the overall sentiment remain unchanged, the HBAR price could touch $0.37.
Influencing Factors for 2026
- IBM adoption of Hedera’s Hashgraph tech, Google Cloud, and ServiceNow.
- Favorably low gas fees and carbon-negative architecture appealing to ESG-focused firms.
- SEC Chair clarity easing custody and listing processes.
In a neutral market, HBAR may stabilize around $0.27–$0.32 by late 2026. But never rule out a blockbuster if new enterprise applications drive up network activity massively.
3. HBAR Long-Term Price Forecast 2028 Regulatory Clarity Boosts Sentiment
By 2028, Hedera may look entirely different. In case Web3 solutions grow up and if Hedera’s speed and consensus engine outperform its competitors, it’ll become a preferred backend layer for governments and Fortune 500 companies.
Price estimates give a range for the average case of $0.63 with an upside of $0.68, supposing token demand rises along with usage.
2028 Price Forecast Table
| Source | Avg Price | High Estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Cryptopolitan | $0.63 | $0.68 |
| Bitrue Analysts | $0.60 | $0.70 |
| CoinDataFlow Projection | $0.58 | $0.66 |
Source Links: Cryptopolitan, Bitrue Blog
SEC Chair could convene working groups to craft a fair, open dialogue over the safeguarding of digital assets, paving the way towards the inclusion of even more ETFs or trust-like investment vehicles into the mix of the HBAR. This institutional acceptance is overdue.
4. What Experts and Analysts Are Saying About HBAR?
Some observers of the industry have opined that Hedera is one of the most enterprise-grade ledgers that could never catch a break, and it could be the time for it to shine.
Quote:
“HBAR is the Ethereum of the enterprise world whose efficiency and governance are grossly undervalued,” said Mati Greenspan, Founder of Quantum Economics.
Analysts also are raising calls on regulatory changes. Any positive language from the SEC Chair could set up compliance-driven adoption, such as approval for token sales or staking protocols currently in gray areas.
The Twitter handle formerly known as X.com witnesses surge conversations around Hedera whenever an announcement about upgrades or Governing Council expansions is made.
5. Why the Head of the SEC Still Matters to Hedera’s Trajectory?
The SEC Chair goes beyond regulation. The job will impact:
- Which tokens are considered securities?
- Crypto ETFs that would include HBAR.
- Which tokens can get listed on major exchanges without delays or legal risks?
Since 2025, HBAR has not attracted major scrutiny. Still, friendly ties with SEC leadership may float it above sudden shocks, whereas a stringent framework for staking services or DeFi integrations might slow it down based on definition.
Expect to see headlines and news articles titled “On layer 1 tokens: SEC Chair’s 2026 position.”
Conclusion: Is HBAR Ready to Climb Higher?
From adoption by bigger firms to shifts in regulation, Hedera’s price making tends to be more in line with real-world dynamics than mere speculation. Should the utility keep climbing and regulators such as Securities and Exchange Commission Head gives a green light to broader institutional flows, HBAR could could experience a steady upward trend through 2028.
Of course, these price estimates are just that, estimates. Informed investors will keep a close watch on all news, regulatory news, and tech integrations.
Focusing on performance, governance, and regulation with sustained attention, While HBAR may not grab headlines, it could prove to be one of the more stable performers over time.
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FAQs
Q1. Are HBAR security or utility tokens?
Right now currently, HBAR is not officially deemed security or utility tokens. The SEC Chair will soon be addressing the issue.
Q2. In what aspect is Hedera different from Ethereum?
While the used technology of Hedera is Hashgraph and not blockchain, consequently, transactions per second could be achieved with lower fees.
Q3. Can HBAR be staked?
Yes, a person is allowed to stake HBAR with the nodes on the network. Future staking updates might depend on regulatory fiat that may come from the SEC Chair.
Q4. Can decisions made by the SEC Chair affect HBAR’s listing on exchanges?
Yes, decisions made by the SEC Chair can pave a way for HBAR’s qualification for listing on major exchanges under U.S. regulations.
Glossary
HBAR: Native token of the Hedera network.
Hashgraph: Distributed ledger technology enables fast fair and secure consensus.
SEC Chair: Head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Market Cap: Total worth of circulating supply of a token.
Enterprise Adoption: Use of a crypto network by large corporations.
